Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.039080 1.254441 1.526312 1.904175 2.432144 3.171434 4.341822
2025-03-23 0.767020 1.014650 1.375485 1.975600 3.036450 5.064940 10.122963
2025-03-30 0.616450 0.861876 1.253381 1.990042 3.550971 7.508210 24.446964
2025-04-06 0.513986 0.745106 1.136924 1.942038 3.906398 10.323293 64.272249
2025-04-13 0.444899 0.663140 1.051206 1.908304 4.275928 14.264556 262.155705
2025-04-20 0.413335 0.636179 1.055317 2.067025 5.363255 26.222869 NaN
2025-04-27 0.382040 0.602820 1.036921 2.164574 6.426317 49.112858 NaN
2025-05-04 0.348920 0.560071 0.988323 2.161499 7.137106 85.665364 NaN
2025-05-11 0.316805 0.514373 0.923556 2.086468 7.451515 135.965140 NaN
2025-05-18 0.297134 0.490026 0.901224 2.132136 8.571526 372.784384 NaN
2025-05-25 0.283055 0.474710 0.896310 2.234045 10.380183 3584.160437 NaN
2025-06-01 0.265505 0.450037 0.864207 2.229626 11.483062 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.245429 0.418502 0.811400 2.135527 11.706612 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.235706 0.407747 0.809236 2.238179 14.480427 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.223806 0.390962 0.788505 2.258731 16.595724 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.210514 0.369816 0.752852 2.201775 17.517020 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.199139 0.351856 0.723227 2.161509 18.761683 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.195717 0.351182 0.740927 2.351927 26.630266 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.190214 0.345198 0.742633 2.469553 35.336724 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.182138 0.332534 0.722888 2.465840 40.633197 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.172752 0.316092 0.689791 2.375339 41.366369 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.167332 0.308532 0.682422 2.430391 52.209424 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.163607 0.304645 0.685694 2.553597 75.364294 NaN NaN